Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 13.276523 14.795941 16.436432 18.342189 20.498848 22.867868 25.672855
2025-08-03 10.863138 12.926802 15.323783 18.325838 22.002091 26.378699 32.015543
2025-08-10 9.076657 11.407625 14.286349 18.130537 23.170865 29.611300 38.554862
2025-08-17 7.733490 10.181145 13.366642 17.863401 24.123507 32.642039 45.304113
2025-08-24 6.740472 9.238149 12.640766 17.685187 25.093493 35.764022 52.645033
2025-08-31 5.996132 8.515664 12.090372 17.628264 26.165641 39.120611 60.838303
2025-09-07 5.523887 8.107042 11.912804 18.056629 27.972766 43.788421 71.830138
2025-09-14 4.996727 7.545940 11.427398 17.925001 28.848445 47.066837 81.054143
2025-09-21 4.498324 6.967923 10.840198 17.537292 29.219474 49.514978 89.197378
2025-09-28 4.121464 6.538122 10.433651 17.382619 29.939302 52.628747 99.065325
2025-10-05 3.939139 6.402586 10.487529 18.010349 32.110722 58.659276 115.681280
2025-10-12 3.768767 6.266955 10.521403 18.596741 34.271090 64.975077 134.092434
2025-10-19 3.552009 6.036820 10.378184 18.862665 35.900887 70.598016 152.422932
2025-10-26 3.286413 5.695656 10.002899 18.645827 36.547635 74.324228 167.329378
2025-11-02 3.037606 5.361639 9.607207 18.341301 36.971392 77.645931 182.032625
2025-11-09 2.812516 5.050766 9.223993 18.015149 37.301521 80.811953 197.074434
2025-11-16 2.624298 4.792347 8.915807 17.805749 37.855371 84.579033 214.558552
2025-11-23 2.469490 4.584250 8.685636 17.732594 38.703860 89.185199 235.435382
2025-11-30 2.380029 4.495768 8.685155 18.155072 40.764095 97.131429 267.838327
2025-12-07 2.242802 4.299934 8.446264 18.017980 41.460170 101.716054 291.440168
2025-12-14 2.094027 4.068478 8.112147 17.625573 41.469696 104.488062 310.133461
2025-12-21 1.978971 3.897290 7.890356 17.468723 42.052525 108.921285 335.410395
2025-12-28 1.938005 3.877996 7.994522 18.099212 44.779871 119.903863 386.103434